MARGDARSHAKDisaster aware mobility
SOS

Risk analysis

Rainfall, river level, slope instability, seismic activity and historical incident density combined into one district score, with a seven day outlook for each.

Prototype build 0.4

Districts scored

10

Across the eight states

In the critical band

3

Score of 80 and above

Risk rising

7

Up more than five points

Population in critical districts

15,97,000

Census based estimate

District ranking

Select a district to open its breakdown.

Dhemaji, Assam

What is driving the score and where it goes next.

Critical

Current score

92

Change this week

+11

Population

6,86,000

Embankment already breached and the upstream gauge is still climbing. Expect the flooded footprint to widen along the north bank through the next two days.

Contributing factors

Rainfall, 24 hour88
River level against danger mark96
Slope instability index24
Seismic activity, 7 day41
Historical incident density94

Seven day outlook

peak 94
Seven day risk outlook for Dhemaji, peaking at 94
  • Today92
  • Day 294
  • Day 393
  • Day 488
  • Day 579
  • Day 671
  • Day 766

How the score is built

Recomputed every 15 minutes in the demonstration. Seven day outlook.

  • Rainfall accumulation over rolling 24 and 72 hour windows
  • River gauge readings measured against the published danger mark
  • Terrain slope and soil saturation for hill cut road sections
  • Seismic events over a rolling seven day window
  • Incident density from previous monsoon seasons
  • Corridor criticality, meaning how many districts lose access if it closes

This is a hackathon prototype. Scores are produced from the sample feature set above to demonstrate the method, and are not an operational forecast. Nothing here should be used to make a real evacuation or dispatch decision.

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